Statistics Quest

Sampling distributions and standard error

A sampling distribution describes how a statistic varies from sample to sample; its standard deviation is the standard error.

SE⁡(xˉ)=σn≈sn\SE(\xbar) = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \approx \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}
Standard error of a sample mean
σ\sigma
population standard deviation
ss
sample standard deviation (divisor n−1n - 1), used when σ is unknown
nn
sample size
SE⁡(p^)=p(1−p)n≈p^(1−p^)n\SE(\phat) = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{\phat(1-\phat)}{n}}
Standard error of a sample proportion
pp
population proportion
p^\phat
sample proportion x/nx/n

When to use

Every time you report an estimate: the SE says how far the estimate typically lands from the parameter. It is the building block of confidence intervals and test statistics.

Assumptions

Independent observations (a random sample, or a sample under about 10% of a finite population; otherwise apply the FPC). The formulas measure random sampling error only, not bias.

How to interpret

  • SD vs SE: the SD describes the spread of individual values; the SE describes the spread of a statistic across repeated samples.
  • SE⁡∝1/n\SE \propto 1/\sqrt{n}: quadrupling the sample size halves the SE (diminishing returns).
  • The mean of the sampling distribution of xˉ\xbar is μ (unbiased); of p^\phat it is pp.

Common mistakes

  • Reporting the SD where the SE is needed, or describing individual variability with the SE.
  • Expecting a bigger sample to fix a biased sampling method.
  • Dividing by nn instead of n\sqrt{n}.

Example

Sample: 12, 15, 11, 14, 13, 16, 12, 15. xˉ=13.5\xbar = 13.5, s=1.7728s = 1.7728, SE⁡=1.7728/8=0.6268\SE = 1.7728/\sqrt{8} = 0.6268. A survey with p^=0.30\phat = 0.30 from n=60n = 60 has SE⁡=0.3×0.7/60=0.0592\SE = \sqrt{0.3 \times 0.7/60} = 0.0592.